000
WTNT80 EGRR 191617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 19.10.2014

             HURRICANE GONZALO    ANALYSED POSITION : 47.8N  50.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2014  47.8N  50.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 20.10.2014  52.0N  53.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ANA        ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 160.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2014  20.4N 160.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.10.2014  20.5N 162.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2014  20.4N 165.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2014  20.7N 167.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2014  21.0N 168.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2014  21.6N 169.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2014  22.4N 170.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2014  23.4N 170.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2014  24.5N 170.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2014  26.2N 170.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2014  28.0N 169.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 34.0N  73.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2014  34.0N  73.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.10.2014  38.0N  69.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.10.2014  42.8N  71.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2014  40.6N  71.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.1N 132.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2014   9.9N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2014   9.7N 132.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2014   9.9N 133.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2014  10.2N 133.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2014  10.6N 134.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 191617