000 WTNT80 EGRR 181617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.10.2014 HURRICANE ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N 158.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.10.2014 18.3N 158.5W MODERATE 00UTC 19.10.2014 18.9N 160.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2014 19.5N 161.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2014 19.8N 163.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2014 20.2N 164.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2014 21.2N 166.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2014 22.3N 167.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2014 23.8N 167.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2014 25.4N 167.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2014 27.0N 168.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2014 28.3N 168.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 30.0N 168.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 32.2N 168.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE GONZALO ANALYSED POSITION : 35.8N 62.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.10.2014 35.8N 62.9W INTENSE 00UTC 19.10.2014 41.4N 58.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2014 48.1N 50.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 20.10.2014 53.2N 37.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 20.10.2014 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM TRUDY ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 98.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.10.2014 16.4N 98.7W WEAK 00UTC 19.10.2014 19.1N 102.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 19.6N 92.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2014 19.6N 92.6W WEAK 12UTC 22.10.2014 19.9N 91.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2014 19.7N 90.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 34.5N 72.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2014 36.4N 69.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2014 41.0N 68.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2014 39.9N 73.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2014 39.6N 70.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.2N 100.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.10.2014 14.2N 100.3W WEAK 00UTC 24.10.2014 14.4N 101.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2014 14.1N 102.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 10.0N 132.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.10.2014 9.9N 132.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 19.9N 86.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.10.2014 21.3N 84.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 181617