000
WHXX01 KMIA 171843
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1843 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP922014) 20141017 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        141017  1800   141018  0600   141018  1800   141019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.2N  99.0W   16.2N  99.0W   17.0N  98.9W   18.0N  98.7W
BAMD    15.2N  99.0W   16.0N  98.9W   16.8N  98.5W   17.9N  97.8W
BAMM    15.2N  99.0W   16.3N  99.0W   17.3N  98.8W   18.4N  98.5W
LBAR    15.2N  99.0W   16.1N  98.9W   16.8N  98.9W   17.4N  98.8W
SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          41KTS          48KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          35KTS          30KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        141019  1800   141020  1800   141021  1800   141022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.5N  98.7W   19.0N  98.9W   19.0N  99.0W   18.1N  99.9W
BAMD    18.9N  97.2W   21.1N  96.4W   23.7N  93.7W   25.5N  88.8W
BAMM    19.2N  98.4W   20.2N  98.6W   20.7N  98.1W   20.3N  97.8W
LBAR    18.1N  98.6W   19.2N  98.8W   21.1N  99.1W   25.0N  98.7W
SHIP        54KTS          60KTS          61KTS          64KTS
DSHP        28KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.2N LONCUR =  99.0W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  13.7N LONM12 =  98.8W DIRM12 = 352DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  12.5N LONM24 =  98.6W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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