000 WTNT80 EGRR 090600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2014 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 24.5N 62.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2014 24.5N 62.2W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2014 26.5N 63.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 28.7N 63.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 31.6N 62.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2014 34.8N 60.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2014 37.4N 53.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2014 39.6N 42.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2014 45.5N 31.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 24.4N 60.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2014 24.4N 60.0W WEAK 00UTC 13.10.2014 25.2N 61.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2014 24.8N 63.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2014 26.0N 65.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2014 27.0N 67.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2014 28.1N 69.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 15.1N 40.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2014 16.0N 40.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2014 16.6N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2014 17.0N 42.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2014 17.6N 43.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 12.0N 140.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.10.2014 12.0N 140.5W WEAK 00UTC 14.10.2014 12.1N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2014 13.4N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2014 14.2N 145.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.8N 92.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.10.2014 11.9N 92.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2014 12.4N 94.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090451