000 WTNT80 EGRR 071800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM SIMON ANALYSED POSITION : 27.2N 117.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2014 27.2N 117.0W MODERATE 00UTC 08.10.2014 27.8N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2014 30.3N 113.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.2N 28.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2014 13.7N 30.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2014 14.6N 32.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 15.2N 34.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 15.8N 35.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2014 16.8N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.4N 90.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2014 11.4N 90.2W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2014 11.6N 91.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 11.5N 91.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 11.8N 91.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2014 12.1N 92.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2014 11.8N 92.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2014 12.0N 92.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 22.5N 60.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2014 22.5N 60.0W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2014 25.1N 61.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2014 27.9N 61.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2014 29.5N 61.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071708