000 WTNT80 EGRR 070600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM SIMON ANALYSED POSITION : 26.0N 117.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2014 26.0N 117.2W MODERATE 12UTC 07.10.2014 26.9N 116.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2014 27.8N 116.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2014 29.0N 115.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 88.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2014 11.5N 89.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.10.2014 11.5N 89.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2014 11.8N 90.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 11.3N 91.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 11.0N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2014 11.2N 91.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2014 11.6N 91.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 19.7N 59.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2014 19.7N 59.3W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2014 21.2N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2014 23.5N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2014 25.9N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070419