000 WTNT80 EGRR 060600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2014 TROPICAL STORM SIMON ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 117.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.10.2014 23.5N 117.3W MODERATE 12UTC 06.10.2014 24.9N 117.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2014 25.9N 116.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2014 27.2N 116.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2014 28.6N 115.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2014 30.8N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2014 32.6N 111.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.5N 137.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2014 12.3N 137.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2014 12.0N 139.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2014 12.0N 141.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2014 12.0N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2014 12.4N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2014 12.4N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2014 12.2N 148.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 12.4N 149.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.2N 88.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2014 10.8N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2014 10.9N 89.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2014 10.8N 91.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2014 11.0N 91.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2014 10.8N 92.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 11.0N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 10.3N 79.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2014 10.3N 79.7W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2014 10.4N 79.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 10.7N 80.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 26.6N 63.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2014 26.6N 63.0W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2014 29.9N 63.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2014 33.0N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060426