000
WTNT80 EGRR 011800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.10.2014

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 17.5N 108.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.10.2014  18.0N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2014  18.0N 111.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2014  18.5N 113.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2014  20.1N 114.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2014  22.1N 115.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2014  23.8N 116.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2014  24.7N 116.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2014  25.6N 116.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2014  26.2N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2014  28.0N 116.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 33.4N  57.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.10.2014  34.3N  55.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2014  35.5N  52.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2014  36.2N  50.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2014  38.6N  50.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2014  42.6N  49.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2014  45.9N  52.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.0N 130.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2014  11.0N 130.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 04.10.2014  11.6N 130.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2014  12.2N 130.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2014  12.7N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2014  12.8N 129.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2014  12.2N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 40.5N  42.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2014  40.5N  40.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.10.2014  38.3N  39.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011745