000
WTNT80 EGRR 281800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.09.2014

             HURRICANE RACHEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 117.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.09.2014  21.1N 117.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 29.09.2014  22.0N 117.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2014  22.5N 117.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.09.2014  22.7N 117.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.09.2014  22.9N 117.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2014  22.7N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2014  22.6N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.0N  99.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.10.2014  14.0N  99.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.10.2014  15.2N 100.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2014  15.9N 102.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2014  16.5N 104.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2014  17.6N 105.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2014  18.3N 108.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2014  19.1N 110.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2014  20.0N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281640