000
WTNT80 EGRR 251800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.09.2014

        TROPICAL STORM RACHEL     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 109.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.09.2014  16.5N 109.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.09.2014  17.3N 111.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2014  18.0N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  18.7N 115.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2014  19.4N 116.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2014  19.9N 117.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2014  20.6N 118.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2014  20.9N 118.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.09.2014  21.1N 119.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2014  20.9N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2014  20.6N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2014  20.0N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2014  19.1N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.2N  94.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2014  12.1N  94.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.09.2014  13.4N  95.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2014  14.7N  96.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2014  16.0N  99.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.10.2014  16.7N 101.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 35.4N  73.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.09.2014  35.4N  73.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.10.2014  35.4N  73.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2014  35.4N  74.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251655