000
WTNT80 EGRR 230600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.09.2014

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 21.9N 115.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.09.2014  21.9N 115.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.09.2014  21.3N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2014  20.7N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.7N 104.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.09.2014  13.3N 105.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.09.2014  14.2N 107.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2014  14.7N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2014  15.2N 111.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2014  15.8N 113.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  16.8N 115.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2014  17.6N 116.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.09.2014  18.5N 117.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.09.2014  19.4N 118.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2014  20.0N 118.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 33.6N  74.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.09.2014  33.8N  75.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 28.09.2014  33.4N  76.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.09.2014  33.7N  78.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 230434