000
WTNT80 EGRR 220600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.09.2014

        TROPICAL STORM POLO       ANALYSED POSITION : 22.6N 112.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.09.2014  22.6N 112.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.09.2014  22.3N 114.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2014  22.2N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2014  22.0N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2014  21.0N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 15.2N 105.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.09.2014  15.2N 105.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.09.2014  15.7N 107.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2014  16.2N 109.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2014  17.2N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2014  17.8N 114.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  17.4N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2014  17.5N 117.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2014  17.5N 118.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.6N  45.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.09.2014  13.6N  45.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.09.2014  14.0N  45.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2014  14.6N  45.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  15.5N  45.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2014  16.3N  45.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2014  16.8N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 25.4N  47.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.09.2014  25.4N  47.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.09.2014  26.4N  47.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  27.1N  47.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2014  28.7N  45.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 220434