000
WTNT80 EGRR 210600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.09.2014

        TROPICAL STORM POLO       ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 109.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.09.2014  21.4N 109.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  21.8N 111.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  22.6N 112.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  22.5N 114.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2014  22.5N 115.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2014  22.0N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2014  21.3N 116.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2014  20.5N 116.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2014  19.3N 116.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 26.1N  85.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.09.2014  27.4N  83.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 24.09.2014  26.6N  84.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2014  26.5N  86.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 27.9N  48.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.09.2014  27.9N  48.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.09.2014  29.7N  47.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2014  31.3N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.7N  96.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.09.2014  13.6N  96.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210431