000 WTNT80 EGRR 200600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.09.2014 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 39.2N 37.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.09.2014 39.2N 37.0W WEAK 12UTC 20.09.2014 39.4N 34.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 38.8N 31.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 37.4N 30.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM POLO ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N 108.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.09.2014 19.9N 108.0W MODERATE 12UTC 20.09.2014 20.6N 109.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 21.4N 109.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 22.2N 111.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2014 22.7N 112.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2014 22.7N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2014 22.7N 114.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2014 22.5N 115.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2014 21.8N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 29.9N 78.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2014 32.0N 77.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2014 35.7N 73.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2014 41.2N 68.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.09.2014 48.0N 60.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.7N 26.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2014 15.4N 25.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2014 16.7N 26.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2014 18.0N 27.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2014 19.8N 28.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2014 19.5N 28.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2014 20.5N 29.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2014 21.2N 29.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2014 22.2N 30.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2014 23.0N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 29.8N 39.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.09.2014 30.7N 39.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 200436