000
WHXX01 KMIA 191342
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1342 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE POLO (EP172014) 20140919 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        140919  1200   140920  0000   140920  1200   140921  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.0N 107.1W   20.1N 107.5W   21.0N 108.2W   21.9N 109.4W
BAMD    19.0N 107.1W   19.7N 108.6W   20.5N 110.5W   21.3N 112.9W
BAMM    19.0N 107.1W   20.2N 108.0W   21.2N 109.3W   22.2N 111.1W
LBAR    19.0N 107.1W   19.9N 108.2W   20.7N 109.6W   21.7N 111.5W
SHIP        60KTS          58KTS          52KTS          45KTS
DSHP        60KTS          58KTS          52KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        140921  1200   140922  1200   140923  1200   140924  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.5N 111.0W   23.6N 114.6W   24.4N 117.8W   24.9N 120.4W
BAMD    22.1N 115.4W   24.2N 120.2W   26.5N 123.3W   29.7N 123.4W
BAMM    22.9N 113.3W   24.4N 117.7W   25.8N 121.2W   27.5N 123.4W
LBAR    22.5N 113.3W   24.0N 116.8W   24.8N 119.9W   26.6N 122.7W
SHIP        37KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        37KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.0N LONCUR = 107.1W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  18.1N LONM12 = 106.2W DIRM12 = 317DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  17.1N LONM24 = 105.3W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   60KT
CENPRS =  981MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   60NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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