000
WTNT80 EGRR 161800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.09.2014

        TROPICAL STORM POLO       ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N  99.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2014  12.6N  99.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.09.2014  13.6N 100.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2014  15.8N 102.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2014  16.8N 104.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2014  18.3N 105.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2014  19.1N 107.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2014  20.0N 108.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2014  20.9N 109.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2014  21.6N 109.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2014  22.4N 110.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  22.5N 111.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  22.6N 112.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  22.5N 113.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE EDOUARD    ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N  57.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2014  30.5N  57.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.09.2014  33.3N  57.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.09.2014  36.2N  54.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.09.2014  38.8N  49.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2014  40.5N  42.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2014  39.7N  38.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.09.2014  38.5N  36.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2014  37.8N  36.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2014  37.2N  35.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2014  35.9N  33.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  34.5N  33.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  33.7N  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  32.8N  35.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM ODILE      ANALYSED POSITION : 28.0N 113.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2014  28.0N 113.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.09.2014  29.1N 113.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2014  29.9N 113.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2014  31.5N 112.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.09.2014  33.0N 111.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 15.1N 146.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.09.2014  15.2N 146.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  15.6N 148.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  15.4N 149.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  15.3N 151.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161653