000 WTNT80 EGRR 160600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.09.2014 HURRICANE EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N 56.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.6N 56.7W MODERATE 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.6N 57.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 33.2N 57.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 36.0N 54.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 38.6N 49.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2014 40.7N 43.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 40.1N 38.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 38.9N 36.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 20.09.2014 38.0N 35.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.09.2014 37.3N 34.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 35.9N 33.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 33.9N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2014 32.1N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 26.1N 112.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2014 26.1N 112.1W MODERATE 12UTC 16.09.2014 28.0N 113.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 28.3N 114.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 29.4N 113.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 30.2N 112.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 31.0N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 9.9N 97.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2014 9.9N 97.6W WEAK 12UTC 16.09.2014 12.6N 98.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 13.8N 100.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.8N 101.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 17.1N 103.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 18.6N 105.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 19.2N 106.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 20.1N 107.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 21.1N 107.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2014 22.0N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 23.1N 109.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 22.8N 110.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.09.2014 22.9N 111.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 16.0N 144.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2014 16.3N 145.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2014 16.0N 147.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2014 16.1N 148.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 13.8N 27.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2014 13.8N 27.8W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2014 14.6N 29.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 17.3N 17.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2014 17.3N 17.2W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2014 17.4N 17.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160450