000 WTNT80 EGRR 151800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.09.2014 HURRICANE EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N 55.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2014 27.0N 55.4W STRONG 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.4N 56.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.2N 57.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 32.8N 57.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 35.9N 54.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 38.7N 49.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2014 40.9N 43.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 40.3N 38.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 39.0N 36.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 20.09.2014 38.3N 36.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.09.2014 37.3N 35.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 35.7N 34.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 34.2N 34.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 111.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2014 24.2N 111.1W MODERATE 00UTC 16.09.2014 26.0N 112.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 27.9N 113.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 28.4N 114.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 28.6N 114.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 30.1N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 30.4N 113.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 30.9N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.4N 98.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 12.4N 98.1W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2014 13.6N 99.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.7N 100.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 18.1N 102.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 33.0N 71.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.09.2014 33.0N 71.3W WEAK 00UTC 19.09.2014 37.4N 65.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 38.1N 58.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 22.6N 107.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.09.2014 22.6N 107.6W WEAK 12UTC 20.09.2014 22.5N 108.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 23.2N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2014 23.0N 110.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151630