000 WTNT80 EGRR 150600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.09.2014 HURRICANE EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 25.7N 52.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 25.7N 52.7W MODERATE 12UTC 15.09.2014 26.8N 55.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.6N 56.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.5N 57.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 33.1N 57.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 36.1N 54.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 39.2N 48.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 41.7N 42.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 41.5N 36.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 39.6N 34.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 20.09.2014 37.8N 33.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.09.2014 36.2N 33.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.09.2014 34.4N 34.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 109.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 22.0N 109.3W STRONG 12UTC 15.09.2014 24.3N 111.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 26.3N 112.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 27.9N 113.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 28.3N 114.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 28.9N 114.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 29.9N 113.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 30.3N 113.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 111.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 16.7N 111.9W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 9.5N 136.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.09.2014 9.5N 136.8W WEAK 00UTC 16.09.2014 10.7N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 12.0N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 12.9N 139.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 13.8N 139.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 14.3N 139.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 14.9N 140.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 15.3N 140.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 16.0N 141.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 15.6N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2014 16.4N 143.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 16.1N 145.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.4N 102.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.3N 103.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 16.4N 104.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 17.1N 106.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 17.9N 107.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 19.7N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 21.1N 109.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2014 21.7N 109.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2014 22.0N 110.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150447