000 WTNT80 EGRR 140600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2014 HURRICANE ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 106.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2014 17.2N 106.2W MODERATE 12UTC 14.09.2014 19.1N 107.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 21.5N 109.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 23.7N 111.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 24.9N 112.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 25.5N 113.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 27.7N 113.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 28.3N 114.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 28.9N 114.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2014 29.5N 114.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.4N 116.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2014 15.4N 116.5W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2014 15.4N 114.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2014 16.3N 112.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 18.3N 110.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 47.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2014 22.8N 47.8W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2014 24.4N 50.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 26.0N 52.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.09.2014 27.2N 54.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.6N 56.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.3N 57.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 32.4N 57.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 35.1N 54.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 37.8N 50.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 39.2N 45.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 39.5N 42.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 39.5N 40.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2014 40.2N 38.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.1N 135.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 9.9N 135.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 10.4N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 11.2N 136.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 12.4N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 13.3N 138.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 14.2N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 15.1N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 15.7N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 16.3N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 16.6N 143.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 17.0N 144.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.7N 100.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.09.2014 14.3N 101.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.1N 104.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 15.8N 105.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 16.6N 107.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 17.9N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 19.2N 109.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 20.7N 109.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 35.8N 67.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.09.2014 37.4N 65.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 40.7N 60.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 42.3N 53.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2014 48.2N 40.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 29.5N 78.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.09.2014 29.5N 78.5W WEAK 00UTC 19.09.2014 29.5N 76.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 29.8N 75.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2014 30.2N 74.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 31.3N 114.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 19.09.2014 31.3N 114.4W WEAK 00UTC 20.09.2014 32.0N 115.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140509