000 WTNT80 EGRR 131800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.09.2014 TROPICAL STORM ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 105.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2014 16.1N 105.5W MODERATE 00UTC 14.09.2014 17.4N 106.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 19.1N 107.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 21.9N 109.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 24.0N 111.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 25.3N 112.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 26.5N 112.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 27.7N 113.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 28.1N 114.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 28.2N 114.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 28.6N 115.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 29.3N 115.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 46.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2014 21.2N 46.5W WEAK 00UTC 14.09.2014 22.4N 47.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 24.1N 49.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 25.7N 52.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2014 27.0N 54.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.5N 55.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.1N 57.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 32.4N 57.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 35.4N 54.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 38.4N 50.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 40.7N 45.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2014 42.2N 40.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2014 42.8N 36.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 117.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.9N 117.5W WEAK 00UTC 14.09.2014 15.5N 115.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 15.4N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2014 16.3N 112.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 36.2N 73.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2014 36.2N 73.3W WEAK 00UTC 14.09.2014 38.5N 70.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 44.5N 61.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2014 46.5N 57.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 47.0N 53.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 48.2N 50.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 52.9N 48.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.3N 99.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 13.3N 100.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 14.0N 103.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 14.2N 105.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 14.8N 107.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 15.6N 108.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 16.7N 110.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 18.0N 111.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.0N 138.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 11.0N 138.9W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2014 11.2N 139.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 12.1N 140.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 12.1N 142.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 12.3N 143.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 12.8N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 13.0N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 30.5N 77.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.09.2014 31.2N 76.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 32.0N 73.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2014 33.2N 70.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2014 34.0N 68.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131636