000 WTNT80 EGRR 121800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.09.2014 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 42.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2014 18.7N 42.6W WEAK 00UTC 13.09.2014 19.8N 44.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 20.7N 46.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 21.8N 47.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 23.4N 49.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 25.2N 51.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2014 26.8N 53.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.6N 55.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 30.3N 57.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 32.8N 56.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 36.3N 54.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 39.8N 50.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2014 41.8N 44.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY TROPICAL STORM ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 104.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2014 15.6N 104.8W MODERATE 00UTC 13.09.2014 16.2N 105.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2014 16.4N 106.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2014 17.3N 107.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 19.1N 108.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 21.4N 110.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 24.0N 111.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 26.7N 111.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 28.9N 112.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 30.1N 112.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 31.5N 112.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 32.9N 109.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2014 33.0N 108.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 119.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2014 16.4N 119.5W WEAK 00UTC 13.09.2014 16.2N 118.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.7N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 15.5N 115.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.4N 101.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 13.4N 101.4W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2014 14.0N 103.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.2N 105.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 16.0N 108.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 16.8N 109.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 28.0N 91.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 28.0N 91.9W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2014 28.5N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 27.1N 89.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 26.3N 88.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 26.2N 86.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 150.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2014 14.9N 150.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 15.7N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2014 16.9N 153.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121707