000 WTNT80 EGRR 120600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.09.2014 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 39.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.09.2014 17.5N 39.6W WEAK 12UTC 12.09.2014 17.9N 41.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 19.3N 43.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 20.5N 45.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 22.0N 46.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 23.2N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2014 24.6N 49.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2014 26.2N 51.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2014 28.0N 52.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 29.8N 53.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 31.8N 53.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 34.0N 52.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 36.0N 49.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM ODILE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 105.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.09.2014 15.2N 105.0W MODERATE 12UTC 12.09.2014 15.9N 105.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 15.9N 106.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2014 16.0N 107.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2014 16.5N 108.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 17.9N 109.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 20.5N 111.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 22.9N 113.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 24.9N 114.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 26.4N 115.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2014 28.1N 115.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 30.9N 114.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 33.2N 112.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 119.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.09.2014 16.8N 119.8W WEAK 12UTC 12.09.2014 16.8N 120.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 16.8N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.8N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 15.6N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 15.2N 119.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2014 14.6N 118.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2014 15.5N 115.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.6N 134.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 10.6N 134.6W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2014 10.6N 135.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2014 11.4N 135.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2014 12.3N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 12.7N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 13.3N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2014 13.3N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 99.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2014 11.8N 100.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2014 13.2N 102.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2014 14.6N 105.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2014 15.5N 108.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 16.1N 110.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 28.9N 89.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2014 28.9N 89.0W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2014 27.7N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2014 27.6N 86.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2014 27.0N 83.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120521