000
WTNT80 EGRR 091800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.09.2014

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 14.3N 102.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.09.2014  14.7N 103.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.09.2014  15.9N 104.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.09.2014  16.6N 106.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.09.2014  17.0N 107.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2014  17.2N 108.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2014  17.5N 108.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.09.2014  17.3N 109.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.09.2014  17.6N 110.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2014  18.2N 111.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2014  19.1N 113.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.09.2014  20.2N 114.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.0N  36.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.09.2014  15.0N  36.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.09.2014  16.8N  38.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.09.2014  18.5N  40.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2014  19.6N  41.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2014  21.0N  43.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2014  22.1N  45.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2014  23.0N  47.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2014  24.0N  47.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.09.2014  25.4N  48.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.4N 125.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.09.2014  13.9N 125.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.09.2014  15.4N 124.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.09.2014  15.9N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.09.2014  16.1N 123.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.09.2014  15.7N 123.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.09.2014  14.9N 122.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.09.2014  14.1N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2014  14.1N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.8N  96.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.09.2014  11.8N  96.8W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091655