000 WTNT80 EGRR 090600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.09.2014 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 14.9N 102.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2014 15.1N 103.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2014 16.7N 104.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2014 17.5N 105.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2014 17.8N 106.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2014 17.5N 107.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 17.4N 107.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2014 17.2N 108.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2014 17.3N 109.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 18.0N 110.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 18.9N 112.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.5N 31.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2014 14.5N 31.9W WEAK 00UTC 11.09.2014 15.0N 33.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2014 17.0N 36.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2014 18.2N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2014 19.5N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 21.0N 42.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2014 22.3N 42.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 23.5N 44.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 24.5N 44.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 25.5N 45.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.6N 124.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.09.2014 14.2N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2014 15.4N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 15.4N 123.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.4N 122.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.7N 145.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2014 12.3N 145.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.09.2014 12.9N 146.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 12.3N 94.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2014 12.3N 94.8W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090447