000
WTNT80 EGRR 020600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2014

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05L        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N  92.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2014  21.3N  92.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2014  22.0N  95.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2014  22.6N  97.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2014  22.4N  98.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 19.4N 108.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.09.2014  19.3N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2014  19.6N 109.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2014  20.5N 110.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2014  21.3N 111.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2014  21.9N 112.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.09.2014  22.2N 113.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2014  22.1N 114.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2014  22.0N 116.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2014  21.5N 117.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2014  21.3N 118.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.0N  19.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.09.2014  14.0N  19.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.09.2014  13.7N  22.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.09.2014  14.4N  24.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2014  15.1N  26.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2014  16.1N  29.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.09.2014  16.9N  31.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2014  17.6N  34.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 10.7N  90.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.09.2014  10.7N  90.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.09.2014  11.2N  90.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2014  12.0N  91.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 29.5N  87.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2014  29.5N  87.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2014  29.2N  87.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020548