000
WTNT80 EGRR 291800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.08.2014

        TROPICAL STORM MARIE      ANALYSED POSITION : 28.2N 132.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.08.2014  28.2N 132.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.08.2014  30.1N 133.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2014  31.2N 134.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2014  31.3N 135.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2014  31.1N 136.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2014  31.1N 137.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2014  31.8N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2014  31.3N 138.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2014  31.6N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2014  30.9N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2014  31.0N 138.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2014  31.0N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2014  30.5N 139.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE CRISTOBAL  ANALYSED POSITION : 43.8N  48.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.08.2014  43.8N  48.6W   INTENSE
 00UTC 30.08.2014  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 38.0N  36.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2014  37.9N  35.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.09.2014  37.7N  34.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2014  38.2N  31.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 15.5N  49.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2014  15.5N  49.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.09.2014  16.8N  50.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2014  18.4N  52.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2014  19.6N  53.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2014  21.0N  54.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 16.8N 103.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.09.2014  17.1N 103.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2014  17.5N 104.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291651