000 WTNT80 EGRR 281800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.08.2014 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ANALYSED POSITION : 36.4N 66.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.08.2014 36.4N 66.8W STRONG 00UTC 29.08.2014 39.4N 58.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.08.2014 43.7N 48.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2014 47.9N 40.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2014 52.1N 34.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2014 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM MARIE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.8N 128.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.08.2014 24.8N 128.3W MODERATE 00UTC 29.08.2014 26.6N 130.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2014 28.5N 132.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2014 29.7N 133.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2014 30.5N 134.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2014 31.0N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2014 30.8N 137.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2014 31.0N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2014 31.3N 139.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2014 31.2N 139.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2014 31.2N 139.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2014 31.0N 140.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 35.2N 24.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2014 35.2N 24.4W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2014 34.3N 23.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2014 33.6N 23.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2014 32.9N 22.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 281739