000 WTNT80 EGRR 250600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.08.2014 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ANALYSED POSITION : 24.8N 73.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.08.2014 24.8N 73.2W WEAK 12UTC 25.08.2014 25.0N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2014 25.7N 71.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.08.2014 28.7N 70.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.08.2014 31.3N 70.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2014 33.6N 69.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2014 35.9N 67.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2014 38.5N 63.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 29.08.2014 41.7N 56.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.08.2014 46.7N 48.1W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.08.2014 50.2N 42.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2014 51.6N 35.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.08.2014 54.1N 26.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM KARINA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 129.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.08.2014 17.8N 129.6W WEAK 12UTC 25.08.2014 17.8N 128.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.08.2014 17.6N 128.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2014 16.9N 128.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2014 15.5N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE MARIE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 112.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.08.2014 16.4N 112.5W MODERATE 12UTC 25.08.2014 17.3N 114.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2014 18.1N 116.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.08.2014 19.5N 118.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2014 20.9N 120.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.08.2014 22.2N 123.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2014 23.7N 126.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2014 25.1N 129.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2014 27.0N 130.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2014 28.9N 131.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2014 30.4N 130.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2014 31.2N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2014 31.2N 129.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 250429