000
WTNT80 EGRR 091800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.08.2014

             HURRICANE JULIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 146.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2014  20.1N 146.6W   INTENSE
 00UTC 10.08.2014  21.5N 149.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2014  23.0N 151.6W   INTENSE     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2014  24.5N 153.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.08.2014  25.2N 154.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.08.2014  25.7N 155.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2014  25.8N 157.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2014  26.0N 159.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2014  25.9N 161.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2014  25.7N 163.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2014  25.0N 166.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2014  24.9N 169.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2014  25.1N 172.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 161.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2014  21.3N 161.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.08.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.3N 149.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2014  12.0N 149.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2014  12.7N 150.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2014  13.2N 150.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2014  13.4N 151.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2014  13.4N 152.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.4N 142.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2014  12.5N 143.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.08.2014  12.5N 143.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2014  11.9N 144.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091628