000 WTNT80 EGRR 081800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.08.2014 TROPICAL STORM ISELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 155.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.08.2014 18.9N 155.2W INTENSE 00UTC 09.08.2014 19.1N 159.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.08.2014 19.9N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2014 20.0N 163.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2014 19.9N 165.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2014 20.1N 167.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2014 20.8N 169.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2014 21.8N 172.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.08.2014 24.0N 175.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.08.2014 25.7N 178.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.08.2014 27.0N 179.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.08.2014 28.4N 178.4E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2014 29.4N 178.4E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE JULIO ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 141.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.08.2014 17.8N 141.4W MODERATE 00UTC 09.08.2014 18.5N 144.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.08.2014 19.2N 147.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2014 20.5N 150.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.08.2014 21.8N 152.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.08.2014 23.5N 154.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 24.6N 156.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.08.2014 25.6N 158.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.08.2014 26.7N 160.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.08.2014 27.4N 161.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.08.2014 27.4N 163.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.08.2014 27.0N 165.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.08.2014 26.9N 168.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 36.3N 44.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.08.2014 36.3N 44.2W MODERATE 12UTC 13.08.2014 38.2N 40.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.08.2014 41.3N 36.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.08.2014 45.7N 33.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.5N 146.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.08.2014 12.7N 146.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2014 14.0N 147.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 32.6N 62.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.08.2014 32.8N 61.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2014 33.0N 59.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081641