000
WTNT80 EGRR 080600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.08.2014

             HURRICANE ISELLE     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 153.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2014  19.0N 153.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 08.08.2014  20.1N 155.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2014  20.5N 159.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.08.2014  21.3N 161.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2014  21.6N 163.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2014  21.7N 165.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2014  22.6N 168.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2014  23.1N 172.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2014  23.8N 176.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2014  24.7N 179.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2014  25.5N 177.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2014  26.1N 175.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2014  26.7N 173.2E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE JULIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 138.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.08.2014  17.3N 138.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 08.08.2014  17.8N 141.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2014  18.5N 144.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2014  19.0N 147.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2014  20.2N 150.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2014  21.3N 152.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2014  22.7N 155.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2014  23.7N 157.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2014  24.1N 160.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2014  24.3N 163.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2014  24.8N 165.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2014  24.3N 168.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2014  24.6N 171.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 32.9N  65.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.08.2014  32.8N  63.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.08.2014  32.9N  60.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2014  32.6N  58.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2014  31.0N  55.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080448