000 WTNT80 EGRR 051800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.08.2014 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N 72.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2014 34.2N 72.6W MODERATE 00UTC 06.08.2014 36.3N 70.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2014 37.9N 65.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2014 40.5N 60.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 43.2N 54.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.08.2014 46.7N 47.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 170.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2014 11.4N 170.7W WEAK 00UTC 06.08.2014 11.6N 173.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2014 12.6N 175.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 14.0N 178.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2014 15.0N 179.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2014 16.5N 177.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2014 18.4N 176.5E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2014 20.7N 177.0E MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.08.2014 23.5N 177.9E INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 10.08.2014 26.5N 177.3E INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.08.2014 29.3N 175.3E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.08.2014 31.3N 172.4E INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 32.3N 170.7E STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY HURRICANE ISELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 138.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2014 15.8N 138.9W STRONG 00UTC 06.08.2014 16.3N 141.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2014 16.3N 143.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 17.0N 146.8W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 17.6N 150.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2014 18.4N 153.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.08.2014 19.8N 156.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2014 20.2N 160.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.08.2014 20.7N 162.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2014 21.2N 164.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2014 21.1N 166.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2014 21.6N 168.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 21.7N 170.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM JULIO ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N 124.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2014 13.8N 124.1W WEAK 00UTC 06.08.2014 14.2N 127.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2014 14.4N 130.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 15.2N 133.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 15.8N 136.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2014 16.5N 139.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2014 17.0N 142.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2014 17.6N 144.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2014 18.2N 147.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2014 19.3N 150.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.08.2014 20.7N 151.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2014 22.6N 153.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 24.1N 155.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.8N 136.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.08.2014 15.8N 136.4W STRONG 00UTC 08.08.2014 16.5N 139.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2014 17.0N 142.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2014 17.6N 144.9W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2014 18.2N 147.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2014 19.3N 150.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.08.2014 20.7N 151.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2014 22.6N 153.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 24.1N 155.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 17.3N 143.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.08.2014 17.6N 144.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.08.2014 18.2N 147.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2014 19.3N 150.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.08.2014 20.7N 151.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2014 22.6N 153.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2014 24.1N 155.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051658