000 WTNT80 EGRR 020600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2014 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 62.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.08.2014 15.9N 62.0W WEAK 12UTC 02.08.2014 17.4N 65.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.08.2014 19.6N 68.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.08.2014 21.5N 71.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.08.2014 24.1N 73.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2014 27.0N 74.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.08.2014 30.2N 73.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2014 33.8N 72.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2014 37.0N 69.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 06.08.2014 39.3N 64.6W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 41.8N 59.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 43.8N 54.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2014 46.5N 47.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEV ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 153.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.08.2014 12.0N 153.9W WEAK 12UTC 02.08.2014 11.9N 155.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2014 11.0N 157.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2014 9.9N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 9.1N 162.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2014 9.5N 164.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2014 10.5N 166.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2014 11.7N 168.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 06.08.2014 13.3N 170.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2014 15.1N 173.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2014 16.7N 175.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 17.7N 177.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2014 19.1N 177.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY HURRICANE ISELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 126.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.08.2014 14.8N 126.9W WEAK 12UTC 02.08.2014 15.0N 128.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2014 15.6N 130.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2014 15.8N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 16.1N 134.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2014 16.2N 136.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.08.2014 16.1N 138.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2014 15.8N 140.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2014 15.6N 142.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 06.08.2014 15.5N 145.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 15.5N 148.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 16.1N 152.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2014 17.3N 156.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.8N 115.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.08.2014 12.8N 115.2W WEAK 00UTC 04.08.2014 12.6N 117.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2014 12.1N 120.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2014 11.3N 122.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 05.08.2014 11.0N 124.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2014 12.0N 126.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2014 12.8N 130.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2014 13.5N 133.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2014 14.2N 136.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2014 15.1N 139.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 020501