000 WTNT80 EGRR 300600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.07.2014 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 148.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2014 13.1N 148.4W WEAK 12UTC 30.07.2014 12.2N 148.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2014 12.3N 149.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2014 12.6N 149.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2014 12.8N 150.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2014 12.8N 151.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2014 12.8N 152.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2014 12.3N 154.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.08.2014 12.3N 156.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2014 12.1N 158.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 12.3N 160.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2014 12.8N 163.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2014 13.6N 166.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 11.2N 130.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.07.2014 11.0N 131.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2014 11.4N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2014 12.0N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2014 11.8N 134.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2014 12.3N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2014 11.6N 138.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2014 12.4N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2014 13.0N 142.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2014 13.7N 145.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 14.3N 148.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2014 15.1N 152.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.3N 45.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2014 10.6N 46.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2014 11.4N 49.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.08.2014 12.7N 52.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2014 13.2N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2014 14.5N 59.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.2N 121.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2014 12.2N 121.6W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2014 12.4N 122.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.08.2014 14.2N 124.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2014 15.6N 126.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2014 15.9N 128.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2014 16.2N 130.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2014 16.1N 132.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 16.0N 133.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2014 15.8N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2014 15.3N 137.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.0N 115.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.08.2014 13.0N 115.1W WEAK 12UTC 03.08.2014 13.4N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2014 13.0N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2014 12.9N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2014 13.0N 123.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300446