000
WTNT80 EGRR 251800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.07.2014

        TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE  ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 135.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2014  12.1N 135.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 26.07.2014  12.0N 136.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2014  12.1N 137.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2014  12.1N 139.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014  12.3N 142.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  12.2N 144.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  12.1N 146.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2014  13.1N 148.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2014  13.2N 150.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2014  13.4N 150.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.07.2014  13.2N 151.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.07.2014  13.4N 152.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2014  13.5N 154.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 14.8N 124.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.07.2014  15.0N 126.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2014  15.0N 127.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014  15.8N 128.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  15.5N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  15.1N 131.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.07.2014  14.3N 133.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.9N 156.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.07.2014  10.5N 156.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  12.9N 158.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.07.2014  14.1N 160.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2014  14.0N 162.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2014  14.2N 163.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2014  14.0N 165.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.07.2014  13.9N 167.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.07.2014  13.9N 169.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 :  9.5N 174.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.07.2014   9.4N 174.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2014  10.5N 175.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.07.2014  11.4N 177.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 30.07.2014  12.5N 178.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.07.2014  13.6N 179.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.07.2014  14.8N 177.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 251640