000
WTNT80 EGRR 240600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC  GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.07.2014

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.7N 128.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.07.2014  11.7N 128.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 24.07.2014  12.6N 130.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.07.2014  13.4N 133.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2014  13.4N 134.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.07.2014  13.1N 135.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.07.2014  12.7N 136.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2014  12.5N 137.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.07.2014  12.2N 138.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  12.0N 140.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  11.7N 142.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.07.2014  12.0N 144.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2014  12.5N 146.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.07.2014  12.8N 148.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  9.0N 153.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.07.2014   9.0N 153.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.07.2014   9.3N 155.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014   9.7N 156.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  10.9N 157.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  11.8N 158.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.07.2014  12.7N 159.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2014  13.4N 160.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.07.2014  13.9N 161.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.9N 127.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.07.2014  12.9N 127.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.07.2014  13.0N 129.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  13.8N 130.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  14.6N 132.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2014  15.2N 135.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2014  15.5N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2014  15.7N 140.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 :  9.3N 169.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.07.2014   9.3N 169.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.07.2014  10.0N 171.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2014  10.7N 173.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2014  11.4N 173.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 240554