000 WTNT80 EGRR 230600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.07.2014 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02L ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 50.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.07.2014 13.2N 50.0W WEAK 12UTC 23.07.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.5N 131.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.07.2014 13.5N 131.5W WEAK 12UTC 25.07.2014 13.7N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2014 13.5N 133.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2014 13.4N 133.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 13.2N 134.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 13.1N 135.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 12.8N 136.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2014 12.4N 138.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.07.2014 12.5N 139.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.8N 144.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.07.2014 11.8N 144.8W WEAK 12UTC 26.07.2014 12.4N 145.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 12.7N 147.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 13.2N 149.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 13.2N 152.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2014 13.5N 153.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.07.2014 13.4N 155.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.7N 124.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2014 12.2N 125.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 12.7N 126.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 13.4N 127.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.07.2014 14.4N 128.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2014 15.4N 130.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2014 15.7N 131.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 9.6N 158.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2014 9.6N 158.3W WEAK 00UTC 27.07.2014 9.3N 159.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 9.8N 160.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 10.6N 162.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.07.2014 11.1N 164.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.07.2014 11.7N 165.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 230504