000
WTNT80 EGRR 221800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.07.2014

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N  46.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.07.2014  12.6N  46.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.0N 132.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 25.07.2014  14.2N 132.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.07.2014  14.3N 133.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2014  13.8N 134.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2014  13.6N 135.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014  13.2N 137.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  12.7N 139.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  12.2N 140.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.6N 125.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.07.2014  11.5N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2014  11.8N 126.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.07.2014  11.9N 128.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.07.2014  12.6N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  13.2N 131.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 :  9.4N 157.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.07.2014   9.4N 157.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.07.2014   9.1N 159.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014   9.1N 160.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014   9.7N 162.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.07.2014  10.5N 163.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.2N 146.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.07.2014  13.2N 146.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.07.2014  13.7N 147.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2014  13.9N 149.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2014  14.3N 152.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2014  14.3N 153.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221649