000 WTNT80 EGRR 220600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.07.2014 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02L ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N 43.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.07.2014 11.9N 43.9W WEAK 12UTC 22.07.2014 12.6N 46.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.07.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 13.8N 128.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.07.2014 14.1N 130.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.07.2014 14.3N 131.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.07.2014 14.3N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2014 14.4N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2014 14.1N 134.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 14.2N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 14.0N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 13.5N 140.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.3N 131.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.07.2014 14.3N 131.6W WEAK 12UTC 25.07.2014 14.3N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2014 14.4N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2014 14.1N 134.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 14.2N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 14.0N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 13.5N 140.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.1N 142.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.07.2014 12.1N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2014 12.9N 144.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.07.2014 14.0N 146.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.07.2014 14.6N 148.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 14.8N 150.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 15.5N 153.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.5N 157.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2014 9.8N 158.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.07.2014 9.9N 159.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 10.4N 161.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 11.4N 162.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 9.7N 159.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.07.2014 9.9N 159.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.07.2014 10.4N 161.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2014 11.4N 162.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.5N 127.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.07.2014 12.5N 127.2W WEAK 00UTC 28.07.2014 12.3N 129.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220452