000
WTNT80 EGRR 021800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.07.2014

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 103.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2014  17.0N 103.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR     ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N  79.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2014  28.9N  79.0W   INTENSE
 00UTC 03.07.2014  30.0N  79.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2014  31.4N  79.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014  33.0N  77.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  35.1N  75.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014  37.4N  71.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.07.2014  39.5N  67.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.07.2014  41.4N  61.7W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2014  45.4N  57.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2014  46.6N  55.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2014  48.0N  51.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.07.2014  50.3N  48.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS    ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 116.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2014  19.5N 116.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 03.07.2014  19.9N 116.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2014  20.2N 116.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014  20.7N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  21.2N 118.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014  21.9N 120.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2014  23.0N 122.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.07.2014  23.8N 123.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2014  24.5N 125.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 10.3N 118.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2014  10.3N 118.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.07.2014  10.1N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2014  11.1N 122.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021628