000
WTNT80 EGRR 300600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.06.2014

        TROPICAL STORM 04E        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 112.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.06.2014  16.3N 112.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.06.2014  17.4N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.07.2014  17.4N 115.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.07.2014  18.8N 116.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.07.2014  19.2N 116.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2014  19.6N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2014  19.9N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2014  20.3N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014  21.0N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  21.8N 121.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014  22.4N 123.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2014  23.2N 124.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.07.2014  23.8N 126.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 28.8N  77.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.06.2014  28.1N  78.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.07.2014  27.0N  78.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.07.2014  27.0N  79.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.07.2014  27.7N  79.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2014  29.1N  79.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2014  30.2N  79.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2014  31.8N  79.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2014  33.6N  77.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  35.8N  75.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014  38.4N  71.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 05.07.2014  40.8N  67.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2014  43.6N  63.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 16.5N 103.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.07.2014  16.2N 103.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 02.07.2014  15.8N 103.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.07.2014  14.9N 104.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 11.8N 112.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.07.2014  11.7N 114.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 :  9.4N 100.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.07.2014   9.4N 100.4W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 300507