000
WTNT80 EGRR 291800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.06.2014

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 109.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.06.2014  14.4N 109.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.06.2014  15.9N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.06.2014  16.5N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.07.2014  18.4N 116.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.07.2014  18.4N 117.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.07.2014  19.3N 118.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2014  19.5N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2014  19.6N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2014  20.2N 121.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014  20.1N 122.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  20.4N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 16.3N 103.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.07.2014  16.8N 103.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 01.07.2014  16.2N 104.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.07.2014  15.5N 104.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.07.2014  14.6N 105.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2014  13.9N 106.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2014  12.9N 106.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014  12.4N 108.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2014  12.4N 109.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2014  12.8N 110.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2014  13.1N 112.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 :  8.7N 136.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.07.2014   9.1N 136.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.07.2014   9.4N 138.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2014   9.6N 140.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2014   9.9N 142.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 34.3N  76.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.07.2014  35.2N  75.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.07.2014  37.1N  73.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2014  39.1N  70.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 :  9.6N  97.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.07.2014   9.6N  97.5W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291630