000 WTNT80 EGRR 290600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.06.2014 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 107.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.06.2014 15.8N 107.2W WEAK 12UTC 29.06.2014 15.3N 111.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.06.2014 15.3N 111.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.06.2014 16.4N 114.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2014 17.7N 116.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.07.2014 19.4N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2014 19.9N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.07.2014 20.9N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2014 20.3N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2014 20.4N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2014 20.6N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2014 21.0N 125.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.07.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 35.4N 74.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.07.2014 35.4N 74.3W WEAK 00UTC 05.07.2014 37.7N 70.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.7N 110.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.07.2014 13.0N 112.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 290458