000 WTNT80 EGRR 271800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.06.2014 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.9N 111.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.06.2014 15.9N 111.3W WEAK 00UTC 30.06.2014 15.6N 112.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.06.2014 18.5N 114.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2014 18.7N 116.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.07.2014 20.1N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2014 20.6N 120.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.07.2014 21.8N 123.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2014 20.8N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.9N 104.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.07.2014 13.9N 104.1W WEAK 12UTC 01.07.2014 14.1N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2014 13.9N 105.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.07.2014 13.7N 107.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.07.2014 13.5N 108.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2014 13.2N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271648