000
WTNT80 EGRR 211800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.11.2013

        TROPICAL STORM MELISSA    ANALYSED POSITION : 39.7N  36.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.11.2013  39.7N  36.4W   INTENSE
 00UTC 22.11.2013  41.4N  30.5W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.11.2013  42.1N  25.2W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.11.2013  42.8N  20.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.11.2013  43.1N  19.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.11.2013  41.9N  18.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.11.2013  40.5N  18.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.11.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 33.5N  77.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.11.2013  33.5N  77.7W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211656