000
WHXX01 KMIA 151825
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1825 UTC FRI NOV 15 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP982013) 20131115 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131115  1800   131116  0600   131116  1800   131117  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 111.2W   17.2N 111.3W   19.1N 109.8W   20.3N 107.7W
BAMD    15.0N 111.2W   18.1N 111.2W   21.5N 109.7W   25.2N 106.1W
BAMM    15.0N 111.2W   17.7N 110.8W   20.2N 108.9W   22.5N 105.9W
LBAR    15.0N 111.2W   17.9N 110.7W   21.2N 108.6W   24.9N 104.6W
SHIP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          20KTS
DSHP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          20KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131117  1800   131118  1800   131119  1800   131120  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.9N 106.1W   20.1N 105.7W   19.3N 106.2W   19.5N 107.0W
BAMD    28.4N 100.4W   30.5N  84.4W   25.5N  75.7W   22.5N  71.5W
BAMM    24.2N 102.9W   27.4N  98.7W   29.5N  92.6W   28.8N  85.9W
LBAR    28.5N  99.3W   33.7N  82.7W    0.0N   0.0W    0.0N   0.0W
SHIP        19KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        24KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 111.2W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  13.2N LONM12 = 110.1W DIRM12 = 316DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 = 108.2W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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