000
WTNT80 EGRR 151800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.11.2013

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 21.7N  53.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.11.2013  22.4N  52.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.11.2013  25.6N  51.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2013  30.7N  49.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2013  37.0N  49.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.11.2013  41.7N  45.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2013  48.3N  37.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2013  50.9N  35.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2013  52.0N  34.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 21.11.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.9N  53.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.11.2013  30.9N  53.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2013  33.0N  51.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.11.2013  36.7N  47.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151825