000 WTNT80 EGRR 280600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.10.2013 HURRICANE RAYMOND ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 117.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172013 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.10.2013 14.9N 117.4W STRONG 12UTC 28.10.2013 16.1N 118.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2013 16.9N 118.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.10.2013 17.5N 118.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.10.2013 18.0N 118.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.10.2013 17.6N 118.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.10.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 33.0N 54.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.10.2013 33.0N 54.9W WEAK 00UTC 31.10.2013 32.4N 53.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2013 33.3N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.11.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 39.2N 48.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.10.2013 39.2N 48.7W MODERATE 00UTC 31.10.2013 40.5N 40.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 31.10.2013 42.7N 30.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.11.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 17.2N 107.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.11.2013 18.0N 107.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.11.2013 18.5N 107.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.11.2013 18.3N 106.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.11.2013 18.5N 105.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 280533