000
WHXX01 KMIA 211837
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1837 UTC MON OCT 21 2013
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND (EP172013) 20131021 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        131021  1800   131022  0600   131022  1800   131023  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.3N 102.2W   16.7N 102.1W   16.8N 102.5W   16.8N 103.1W
BAMD    16.3N 102.2W   17.0N 102.1W   17.4N 102.0W   17.7N 102.0W
BAMM    16.3N 102.2W   16.7N 102.3W   16.8N 102.6W   16.7N 102.9W
LBAR    16.3N 102.2W   16.9N 101.8W   17.9N 101.5W   18.9N 101.3W
SHIP       110KTS         111KTS         104KTS          94KTS
DSHP       110KTS         111KTS         104KTS          94KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        131023  1800   131024  1800   131025  1800   131026  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N 104.2W   16.3N 107.4W   14.9N 112.3W   12.6N 117.2W
BAMD    17.7N 102.2W   18.1N 104.0W   18.7N 106.7W   19.4N 109.4W
BAMM    16.3N 103.6W   15.7N 106.3W   15.0N 109.9W   13.9N 113.8W
LBAR    20.3N 100.6W   24.4N  97.6W   28.8N  90.3W   30.7N  77.3W
SHIP        85KTS          73KTS          71KTS          66KTS
DSHP        85KTS          73KTS          71KTS          66KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.3N LONCUR = 102.2W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   0KT
LATM12 =  16.0N LONM12 = 102.2W DIRM12 = 334DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  15.2N LONM24 = 101.8W
WNDCUR =  110KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   95KT
CENPRS =  949MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
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